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2024-12-14 01:31:56

Survey: Most Japanese companies expect Trump 2.0 to damage the business environment. According to a survey in Reuters, nearly three-quarters of Japanese companies expect Trump's second US presidency to have a negative impact on the business environment of Japanese companies. The reasons for concern include the planned tariff increase and trade tensions. The manager of a machinery manufacturer wrote in the survey: "It is difficult to predict his policies, which makes it difficult for our client company to make investment decisions"; Although 73% of the respondents said that Trump's second entry into the White House will not have a favorable impact on their business environment, the rest of the respondents expect a positive impact, including the expectation that domestic demand in the United States will expand through tax cuts, and energy and environmental policies may also be revised; When asked what measures they would take if Trump raised tariffs, two-thirds of the respondents said their business strategy was unlikely to change, 22% said they would cut costs, and 8% said they would work hard to expand their cultivation in markets outside the United States.South Korea's Seoul Composite Index rose to 1%.Australia's ASX 200 index narrowed to 0.1%, and the Australian dollar increased. The just released Australian employment data was better than expected.


Han Dongxun, leader of South Korea's ruling party, said that President Yin Xiyue should be dismissed immediately. The only way is for the ruling party members to vote for impeachment.Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Japan's semiconductor sector rose collectively, with ADVANTEST up nearly 5%, DISCO up over 2% and Renesas Electronics up over 1%.


Market News: Australia and Papua New Guinea sign bilateral security agreement.Hong Kong suspended the import of poultry meat and poultry products from Ehime Prefecture, Japan. On December 11th, the Center for Food Safety of the Food and Environmental Hygiene Department of Hong Kong announced that in response to the notification from the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries of Japan that highly pathogenic H5 avian influenza broke out in Ehime Prefecture, Japan, the Center immediately instructed the industry to suspend the import of poultry meat and poultry products (including eggs) from this area to protect public health in Hong Kong. A spokesman for the Centre said that according to the information of the Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong imported about 2,000 metric tons of frozen poultry meat and 227.42 million eggs from Japan in the first nine months of this year. The spokesman said: "The Center has contacted the Japanese authorities on the incident and will continue to pay close attention to the news of the outbreak of avian influenza issued by the World Organization for Animal Health and relevant authorities, and take appropriate actions in response to the development of the local epidemic."Google executives: Search for artificial intelligence is the biggest bet, with an estimated investment of 50 billion yuan in 2024. ruth porat, president and chief investment officer of Google, revealed at a conference that Google's biggest bet is to apply artificial intelligence to search business. Despite the problems of technical competition and artificial intelligence model, Google is still firmly pushing forward this strategy. Polat emphasized that integrating artificial intelligence into search business is Google's current core strategy. Google has introduced an overview of AI into the search tool, added advertisements to it, and introduced shopping advertisements to Google Lens. Despite the existence of false or misleading results such as artificial intelligence illusion, Google is still optimistic about the development potential of artificial intelligence in the search field. In addition to the search business, Polat also pointed out that Google Cloud is another important investment of the company. When answering a question about whether Google's investment cost in artificial intelligence will follow the industry trend, Polat said that artificial intelligence represents "an opportunity for generations". She revealed that Google plans to spend $50 billion on chips, data centers and other capital expenditures in 2024, but stressed that Google will make careful bets based on the results.

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